Gujarat State Petronet (GSPL) reported a sharp decline in transmission volume to downward revision. Sequentially, implied tariff stood at Rs847/mscm, -3% QoQ. Lower volume and lower implied tariff resulted in EBITDA of Rs1.2bn, -35% QoQ (PLe & consensus Rs1.9bn). Higher interest cost resulted in even sharper...
incentives of Rs350mn and expect Rs510mn over FY26/27. The company expects MDF/plywood margin of 12%/7-8% in FY26. We had considered consolidated EBITDA margin of 11.8% with 1) steep increase in timber prices, 2) higher OEM vol in the MDF segment, 3) lower domestic volumes, and 4) lower realization with competition in MDF. Timber prices will continue to impact margins in coming quarters. The management has indicated moderation in...
Sun Pharma (SUNP) Q4FY25 EBIDTA (+11% YoY) was largely in line however moderate growth (9% YoY) in specialty sales after several quarters of strong double-digit growth was below our estimate. Over last few years SUNP dependency on US generics has reduced and company's growth is more functional on specialty, RoW and domestic pharma that has strong growth visibility. Though FY26 expenses (an additional $100mn spend) is likely to remain elevated given company are in investment phase to ramp up specialty...
We are upgrading ITC from Accumulate to BUY as we expect current margin/growth pressures to subside post 1H26. ITC is suffering margin pressure in cigarettes (high leaf tobacco prices and volume focused strategy), Paper (High wood prices and dumping) and FMCG (Tepid volumes, high input costs and hit in stationary business). However, we expect the scenario to change as leaf tobacco prices have started softening in current season, new wood supplies, integration of century paper and bottomed out margins (~40%...
Oil production in KG-Basin to ramp up from 35kbopd to 45kbopd Mixed production profile of standalone oil (+0.4% QoQ) and gas (-1.9% QoQ) combined with marginally higher oil price realization of USD73.7/bbl in Q4 vs USD72.6/bbl in Q3FY25 resulted in revenues of Rs349.8bn, +3.8% QoQ. EBITDA of Rs190bn (+0.2% QoQ) was 3.8% higher than our est of 183.2bn & consensus of Rs179.7bn. Much higher DDA led by write-offs resulted in PBT declining by 20% QoQ to Rs88bn (PLe Rs107bn) despite growth in rev. PAT stood at...
alumina NSR improved 83% YoY to USD670/t, while that for metal grew 22% YoY to USD2,973/t on strong LME. EBITDA grew robust 149% YoY on favorable pricing and lean cost structure supported by captive coal. Mgmt. guided for...
reflecting a 15.9% YoY increase and a 9.5% QoQ growth. The top-line expansion of HALS rose significantly to 1,900tn in FY25 from 600tn in FY24, with a blended realization of Rs425/kg. Management has guided for HALS volumes to reach 4,500tn in FY26, with realizations expected to improve to Rs495...
Cautious outlook for 1H26 due to muted urban demand, expect recovery led by innovations & rural momentum post 2Q. increased promotional spending led by heightened competitive intensity. Near term outlook is cautious given that 1) urban demand continues to remain muted at mass end 2) heightened competitive landscape 3) rising promotional...
increased sharply over the last 3 years (29% CAGR over FY22-25). Our FY2627E EBITDA estimate broadly unchanged. We estimate 24% EBITDA CAGR over FY25-27E aided by scale-up in margins, healthy ARPOB and bed additions. ASTER DM's board has recently approved merger with Quality care (QCIL) that...
IIB saw an abnormal but weak quarter as it reported a net loss of Rs22.4bn due to recognition of accounting lapses. While forex loss of Rs19.6bn and interest reversal on MFI loans Rs5.7bn were expected, increased MFI stress of Rs19.7bn led to QoQ spike of 81bps in provisions to 281bps; contingent provisions of Rs13.25bn were fully utilized. Our sense is that most of the lapses have been corrected, and no significant deviations are expected. For FY26/27E we trim loan growth by 5%/2% to 8%/11% and subsequently due to cascading effect...
